Analysts at Standard Chartered Bank have released an updated forecast regarding the dynamics of Bitcoin’s price, indicating that by the end of 2025, the value of the leading cryptocurrency could exceed $200,000. In the third quarter of 2025, a new historical maximum of $135,000 is expected.
This is reported by Business • Media
Changing the approach to Bitcoin price forecasting
In his report, Jeff Kendrick, head of the digital assets research department, notes that the traditional model for forecasting Bitcoin’s price, which is based on halvings, has already lost its relevance. The analyst emphasizes that the current market cycle is significantly different from previous ones, particularly due to the influence of institutional investors and the emergence of Bitcoin-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
In the history of cryptocurrency, there has previously been a sharp increase in value after each halving, particularly after the second one in 2016, which was followed by a significant correction. For example, after the 2016 halving, Bitcoin reached a local maximum in December 2017, after which its price sharply declined.
New growth drivers: ETFs and institutional investors
The fourth halving occurred in April 2024; however, according to Standard Chartered, there are no grounds to expect a classic correction this time. The main argument is the activity of institutional players and the steady demand for Bitcoin from ETFs. Bank specialists believe these factors can support further price growth in the digital asset market.
“We expect prices to resume an upward trend, supported by ongoing active purchases of ETFs and treasury bonds.”
According to forecasts, in the third quarter of 2025, Bitcoin will set a new historical maximum of $135,000, after which a new phase of growth will begin. By the end of 2025, the price could exceed $200,000, and by 2028, Standard Chartered expects it to reach $500,000.
It is worth noting that the report was released against the backdrop of a significant outflow of capital from spot Bitcoin ETFs, which exceeded $342 million. Nevertheless, the bank’s experts are confident that Bitcoin’s long-term potential remains high due to institutional demand.