The Ukrainian economy in the second quarter of 2025 demonstrated a GDP growth of only 0.8% compared to the same period last year, which is 79% of the pre-war level of 2021. This conclusion was drawn by analysts from a leading investment company, emphasizing the insufficiently resilient recovery of economic activity in the country.
This is reported by Business • Media
Dynamics of Industry and Trade
According to experts, most sectors of the economy are showing weak results, although a certain improvement was observed at the end of the quarter. Industrial production in the first quarter decreased by 6.1%, but by the end of the first half of the year, the rate of decline reduced to 3.9%. A similar trend was recorded in the freight turnover sector: the decline rate fell from 5.1% in the first quarter to 2.7% over the six-month period. At the same time, retail trade in the second quarter grew by more than 6%, although in the first quarter, these rates did not exceed this figure.
Impact of Agriculture and Forecasts
The main restraining factor for economic development remained agriculture, where the start of the harvest was delayed. This factor negatively affected related industries, particularly the food industry and the transport sector.
“We expect a significant acceleration in GDP growth in the third and fourth quarters, as the harvest will be collected at a high pace during this period, providing a boost for related sectors – the food industry and freight transport,” analysts concluded.